For Immediate Release: 23:30CST 10/29/95

SitRep: Malta Shakaki Shooting/Israeli-PLO Peace Process




Numerous public threats are being made, coming from a from a variety of radical fundamentalist sources, following the death of Islamic Jihad leader Dr.Fathi Shakaki in Malta...allegedly at the hands of an Israeli agent. Also allegedly, five silenced pistol shots to the head.






Other poss. alleged perpetrators:
Publically reported threats against Israel and the United States from:


Poss. New Leader:
Ramadan Abdullah, 42, reported to be living in Damascus, Syria
Radical views unknown at the time of this report....


Poss. motivation in the shooting:
To split the Islamic Jihad, which is already in conflict over joining the PLO in making peace and participating in coming elections. Shakaki was reportedly for maintaining a "hardline" and continuing the struggle. Note: One of his "favorite Islamic speakers" was Shiek Abdel-Rahman, the blind cleric of Egypt and NYC fame.



Preliminary Analysis:
This could signal another escalation in "suicide bombs", particularly in Israel or against Jewish interests anywhere in the world. The last time a major Islamic "player" was killed in Lebanon, the retribution took place in Argentina and the UK. Car bombs against Israeli embassies, commercial buildings, or other sites could be a possibility, and the risk of an attack against the United States has increased. It is unlikely that Shakaki's death will go unavenged...the question is where and when.




ERRI is collecting additional details and watching this story closely. If you would like additional analysis/information, please feel free to contact us.

Clark Staten, Exec. Dir.
Emergency Response & Research Institute (ERRI)
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