ERRI General Terrorism Warning


WASHINGTON (EmergencyNet News) - On 22 January, the U.S. State Department issued the following Public Announcement:

Non-Specific Threat Warning Issued for Bosnia-Herzegovina

"On January 22, NATO-led forces arrested indicted Bosnian-Serb war criminal Goran Jelisic near Bijeljina, Republika Srpska, Bosnia-Herzegovina, and dispatched him to the Hague to stand trial. While there is no specific information of a threat, the potential exists for retaliation against American interests in Bosnia-Herzegovina and Croatia. In the wake of this operation, American citizens should pay close attention to their personal security and exercise caution, especially in the areas near Bijeljina, Bosnia-Herzegovina, and in Eastern Slavonia, Croatia.

This Public Announcement expires on February 28, 1998."

Source: U.S. State Department


STATE DEPARTMENT TRAVEL INFORMATION - Sentencing of Mir Aimal Kasi

Sentencing of Mir Aimal Kasi - Public Announcement

January 22, 1998

On January 23, 1998, Mir Aimal Kasi was sentenced to death for the 1993 murders of two people and the malicious wounding of three others outside the Central Intelligence Agency. While we have no specific information of a threat, the potential exists for retaliation by Kasi's sympathizers against American interests. United States Government installations abroad have been instructed to review their security precautions. American citizens residing or traveling abroad should pay close attention to their personal security practices in light of the potential threat.

This supersedes the Public Announcement of November 14, 1997, on Mir Aimal Kasi (also spelled "Kansi"). This Public Announcement expires April 23, 1998.

Source: U.S. State Department


ERRI DAILY INTELLIGENCE REPORT-ERRI Risk Assessment Services-Thursday, November 13, 1997 Vol. 3 - 317

Ramzi Yousef Found Guilty on Four Counts; ERRI Alert ...
By Paul Anderson, EmergencyNet News - Asst. Managing Editor

NEW YORK CITY (EmergencyNet News)- Convicted bombing mastermind Ramzi Yousef and a co-defendant were both found guilty on Wednesday on all counts of charges that they participated in the planning and execution of the World Trade Center bombing.

Emergency Response & Research Institute (ERRI) analysts say that they fear that this latest court finding will only add additional fuel to the ideological fires already started by Moslem radicals, who are reportedly angered by on-going events in Iraq, the recent conviction and death sentence for Amir Kansi in a case involving the murder of two CIA employees, and the stalled Israeli/Palestinian Authority peace talks.

"What we see are a number of converging events that could signal a very likely possibility of an impending terrorist attack on American citizens or facilities either here or abroad," according to Clark Staten, ERRI executive director. "Our threat analysis computer is signaling a significant increase in threat levels involving America and her interests in several parts of the world," he continued. "We would urge additional precaution and alertness on the part of all Americans, particularly for military members, those contemplating traveling to, or already living in the Mid-East...the distinct possibility even exists of an attack in the continental United States," Staten concluded in an exclusive statement on Wednesday afternoon.

Later in the evening, the U.S. State Department issued a new warning to Americans abroad about possible retaliation after the conviction of Yousef and Eyad Ismoil. The State Department is urging U.S. citizens to postpone non-essential travel to Pakistan one day after four American businessmen were shot and killed in Karachi. A team of four FBI experts has arrived in Karachi and has been given access to the scene of the shooting, the car in which the men were shot and the hospital which received the bodies.

NBC was reporting that the U.S. Consulate in Karachi received a call before the shooting, warning of an impending attack. There are also reports a group called the Islamic Revolutionary Council has claimed responsibility for the attack.

In another worldwide development, the U.S. Embassy in Kuala Lumpur, Malyasia, has warned Americans to be on their guard, saying it received two phone calls threatening harm to U.S. citizens. The Embassy said it was unable to assess the credibility of the threats but told Americans to "maintain a high level of security awareness."

Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad said he did not see any risk to Americans in Malaysia despite the threats. He said, "I don't believe the threat will be followed by action. Malaysians are not violent people. Malaysians don't do such things."

The threats against Americans in Malaysia coincided with increased strains between the two countries.

A non-binding resolution in the U.S. Congress condemned recent remarks made by the prime minister about Jews. Mahathir drew criticism from Jewish groups and the United States in October after he was quoted as saying the government suspected Jewish groups had an agenda to block Moslems' progress. Mahathir later said he had been misinterpreted. The U.S. congressional resolution was carried on the front pages of many Malaysian newspapers on Thursday.


11/15/97

ERRI Summary and Analysis:

The threat levels of potential terrorist attacks against America or her allies are currently as high as they have been since the 1991 Persian Gulf War. These threats come from a variety of vectors and would appear to be multifaceted in nature. They may include assassinations, bombings, infrastructure attacks, or even the usage of WMD (chemical/biological /nuclear weapons).

It should be noted that Iraq and several other antagonists in the Mid-East have few conventional military options that they can employ against America or her allies with any effectiveness. Their most obvious ability is to hope to incite a wave of fundamentalist terrorist attacks that could influence policy decisions on the part of American political leaders. Recent calls for "Arab solidarity," and retaliatory terror attacks directed against America and her allies, by Iran, the Palestinians, and other radical groups would appear to be an attempt to use the Iraqi crisis to split the American-led coalition and create motivation for further confrontations. -- C. L. Staten, Sr. Analyst, ERRI

Source: Emergency Response & Research Institute

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