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Posted: 04 Mar 2008


MILITARY CRISIS: Colombia/Venezuela and Colombia/Ecuador borders

March, 2008 -- Recent Developments and Precipitating Factors

Includes: Background information and Counter-Terrorism Assessment of
Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC)


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MILITARY CRISIS: Colombia/Venezuela and Colombia/Ecuador borders

March, 2008 -- Recent Developments and Precipitating Factors

On 01 March, 2008, long-time FARC leader Raul Reyes (a.k.a. Luis Edgar Devia Silva) was reported killed in a FARC encampment that was located just inside Ecuador. The Colombian military said the camp was located just over a mile from the border.

A total of 17 rebels and one soldier died in the operation, which involved Colombia's army, police and air force, Colombian defense minister Juan Manuel Santos said.

Colombian officials have long complained that FARC rebels are allowed to take refuge across its borders in both Ecuador and Venezuela. Colombia said after the assault that FARC "terrorists" including Reyes "have had the custom of killing in Colombia and taking refuge in the territory of neighboring countries."

Shortly after the raid by the Colombian military, tensions began to rise as both Ecuadorean President Rafael Correa and Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez began diplomatic protests and then sent their troops to the border with Colombia. The situation and rhetoric have continued to escalate since then...

Emergency.Blog Initial Reports:

Tue. Mar. 4, 2008 -- "Colombia: Rebels considering dirty bombs,"
http://www.emergency.com/archive/cat_counter-terrorism.htm

Tuesday, March 04, 2008 -- "War Drums in Latin America,"
http://www.emergency.com/archive/cat_counter-terrorism.htm

02 March 2008 -- "Venezuela's Chavez: Colombia incursion would be war," http://www.emergency.com/archive/cat_counter-terrorism.htm


Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC)

a.k.a. Fuerzas Armadas Revolucionarias de Colombia

Description

Established in 1964 as the military wing of the Colombian Communist Party, the FARC is Latin America’s oldest, largest, most capable, and best-equipped insurgency of Marxist origin, although it only nominally fights in support of Marxist goals today. The FARC is governed by a general secretariat led by long-time leader Manuel Marulanda (a.k.a. “Tirofijo”) and six others, including senior military commander Jorge Briceno (a.k.a. “Mono Jojoy”). The FARC is organized along military lines but includes some specialized urban fighting units. A Colombian military offensive targeting FARC fighters in their former safe haven in southern Colombia has experienced some success, with several FARC mid-level leaders killed or captured. France, Spain, and Switzerland formed an international commission in November 2005 to aid the Colombian Government and the FARC with humanitarian exchange negotiations.

Activities

FARC has carried out bombings, murder, mortar attacks, kidnapping, extortion, and hijacking, as well as guerrilla and conventional military action against Colombian political, military, and economic targets. The FARC murdered a U.S. citizen and a Colombian soldier and continues to hold three other U.S. citizens kidnapped in February 2003 when their plane crashed in a FARC stronghold. Foreign citizens often are targets of abuductions that FARC carries out in pursuit of ransom and political leverage. The FARC has well-documented ties to the full range of narcotics trafficking activities, including taxation, cultivation, and distribution.

Strength

Approximately 12,000 combatants and several thousand more supporters, mostly in rural areas.

Location/Area of Operation

Primarily in Colombia with some activities such as extortion, kidnapping, weapons sourcing, logistics, and R&R in neighboring countries.

External Aid

Cuba provides some medical care, safe haven, and political consultation. The FARC often uses the Colombia/Venezuela and Colombia/Ecuador border

-- Source: United States Department of State, Office of the Coordinator for Counterterrorism, "Country Reports on Terrorism 2005," Issued: April 2006


COLOMBIA

Under President Uribe, Colombia—the United States’staunchest ally in the region—has continued to make major progress in strengthening democracy by improving security while energetically implementing a comprehensive counternarcotics strategy.

Colombia’s better-trained security forces and improving counterinsurgency capabilities have significantly weakened the Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC), confining the group’s operations largely to ambushes and harassment attacks. This is a major difference from the late 1990s when the FARC regularly assaulted rural police garrisons and even battalion-sized Army units. Bogota now holds the strategic advantage because of the military’s sustained combat operations in the FARC’s rural heartland and the permanent stationing of security forces in regions previously dominated by the insurgents. Key successes last year included the killing of two prominent FARC Front commanders and the continuing high number of FARC deserters.

FARC leaders increasingly rely on political tactics to try to distract or restrain the government. The group’s recent release of two Colombian hostages was a bid by the FARC to gain international recognition and pressure the government into offering it a demilitarized zone. The Uribe government continues to work with the United States to secure the freedom of three US hostages, who have been held captive for nearly five years. The FARC currently holds about 750 hostages.

The second major prong of Uribe’s security strategy -- demobilizing and reintegrating paramilitaries into civilian society -- also has yielded important benefits. Government successes against all the illegal armed groups have caused murder and kidnapping rates to drop significantly, and the improved security environment has helped fuel an economic boom. Stepped-up efforts to prosecute human rights violators, including in the security services, have contributed to a gradually improving human rights picture. Bogota is taking steps to follow through with proposals to strengthen the judiciary and prosecute the murders of union members and human rights workers.

Bogota’s counterdrug program continues to show impressive results, particularly in interdiction, arrests of major drug traffickers, and extradition. The police and military seized 65 metric tons of cocaine and cocaine base in 2006; it also destroyed 200 cocaine labs. The government has approved more than 550 extraditions to the United States since 2002, including more than 100 cases in 2007. And Colombian authorities captured kingpin Diego Montoya in September, the country’s most important drug trafficker on the FBI’s Top Ten list. Although aggressive US-supported aerial eradication has diminished coca cultivation in some areas, coca farmers have adapted by moving beyond the reach of the spray program or taking actions to save or replace sprayed fields. In response, the Uribe administration is combining spray efforts with increased emphasis on manual eradication.

-- Source:  Annual Threat Assessment of the Director of National Intelligence for the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, 5 February 2008, By J. Michael McConnell, Director of National Intelligence


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