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07 June 2000
USA - TERRORISM:
NATIONAL COMMISSION ON TERRORISM REPORT NOW ONLINE
(WASHINGTON, DC - 6/7/2000) - The full report of the National Commission on Terrorism, "Countering the Changing Threat of International Terrorism," is now available online at: http://www.fas.org/irp/threat/commission.html
15 Feb 2000
WORLDWIDE:
Could Air Hijacking Be Making A Comeback In Terrorist Tactics?
Recent air hijackings in South Asia in the last two months may suggest air piracy may be on the rise in that tense region. Western officials are said to be worried that the success of Kashmiri separatist gunmen who hijacked an Indian Airlines plane to Afghanistan in December may have set a dangerous precedent that will embolden imitators.
Last week, hijackers opposed to Afghanistan's ruling Taleban movement seized an Afghan plane carrying 186 people on an internal flight and forced it to fly to Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan, Russia and eventually to Stansted Airport outside London.
One West European counter-terrorism official said: "The moment you see governments cooperating with or giving in to hijackers anywhere in the world, you have to worry about the knock-on effect, the example it sets." ERRI Counter-terrorism analyst Clark Staten agreed, "One successful hijacking begets another...if terrorists get the message that they can accomplish their objectives by taking hostages...it is likely that is what they will do."
04 Feb 2000 - From: http://www.emergency.com/ennday.htm
WORLDWIDE:
ERRI Analysts Concerned About "Spring Offensives"
By Paul Anderson
Often, as the weather warms and Spring comes, young men's thoughts turn to women and love...or so the saying goes. This year, ERRI analysts say that they fear that at least some young men's thoughts will turn to blowing up buildings and maiming or killing innocent civilians.
Historically, military action and insurgent attacks often increase as the weather warms in countries that are subject to fog, cold, and snow during the winter season, says Clark Staten, ERRI's Sr. National Security analyst. "Our most recent appraisal would suggest that we may see a measurable upturn in terrorist incidents in countries like Kosovo, Chechnya, Russia, Kashmir, Bosnia and possibly several others, as Spring approaches" Staten said in an interview today.
"We are watching events in several regions very closely...particularly in a region commonly called the 'Stans' (Afghanistan, Pakistan, Dagestan, Tajikistan, etc.)...we believe that the arrests of a number of militants disrupted several terrorist acts during the New Years period, but those actions may only have delayed the eventuality of future terrorist events," Staten added.
Staten said that the assessment is the result of both human analysis and computer tracking of terrorists and terrorist incidents.
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