Excerpted from: ERRI DAILY INTELLIGENCE REPORT-ERRI Risk Assessment
Services-Monday, February 22, 1999 - Vol. 5 - 053
DOMESTIC BIOTERRROISM
Bioterrorism Attack Fears
Raised by Conference Exercise
By: Paul Anderson, Correspondent/Analyst
Chicago, IL (EmergencyNet News) - A tabletop exercise held last week confirms what
Emergency Response & Research Institute (ERRI) analysts have been saying for more than
five years. The realistic simulation of a smallpox release, sponsored by the Center for
Civilian Biodefense Studies at Johns Hopkins University, left 15,000 people dead over two
months and theoretically left more than 80 million people dead, world-wide, in a year.
Clark Staten, ERRI Executive Director and Senior National Security Analyst, says that the
scenario outlined is "a nightmare" that could happen tomorrow in almost any of
America's cities. "We are far more concerned about the potential implications of a
bioterrorist attack than we are about the use of chemical weapons," Staten said in an
interview over the weekend. "A chemical attack is more finite and similar to
hazardous materials incidents that are managed everyday by America's Fire/EMS/Police
forces...a Biological release incident will be far more insidious and difficult to
detect," Staten added.
Staten says that a chemical release, for instance a nerve gas attack, will almost
immediately affect the exposed population and that we have drugs that can be given to
treat those stricken by it. "The affects of a chemical attack could be dramatic and
perhaps overwhelming, but at least we know what drugs can counter-act these agents and we
are probably more prepared to manage the consequences," the veteran counter-terrorist
analyst continued. "A biological release, on the other hand, might not be discovered
for several days, until the first patients begin to enter into the emergency medical care
system," he added.
"And then," Staten continued, "the symptoms may not be readily identifiable
as those of a bio-agent...the patients may present with what appears to be a typical 'flu
syndrome' that would not draw immediate attention from EMS/medical professionals."
"The greatest danger is that of a contagious/infectious disease, with a high
mortality rate, that could be spread from person to person, through the air," Staten
said. "If the danger is not recognized early, such an attack could also quickly
infect and debilitate the EMS/Medical community, who would then not be able to assist
others," Staten added.
ERRI analysts, who have been researching and writing about the threat of chemical and
biological attack since 1987, conclude that America is becoming more aware of the
potential for a terrorist attack involving Weapons of Mass Destruction (WMD). They point
to a variety of training programs that are being conducted by the U.S. Department of
Defense and the U.S. Department of Justice as a good first step in becoming better
prepared. But, they also believe that America is far from being adequately trained or
equipped for the necessary counter-measures that might be needed to effectively assure
American security.
"The truth is...only a very small percentage of America's emergency responders have,
to date, received the necessary training or equipment to deal with a major chemical or
biological release within CONUS (Continental United States)," the retired emergency
service chief said. "We've come a long way in regard to our collective knowledge of
this issue in the past couple of years, but we still got a ways to go before we can, in
reality, call ourselves prepared," Staten said. "If this threat is a
reality, it must become a priority...we must expand our education and training efforts and
develop the needed testing equipment that can detect chemical or biological agents rapidly
and right there, in the field," he added.
"Additionally, we believe we need to use things like internet 'distance learning,' the sharing of 'lessons-learned' databases, and other innovative methods to spread the word to all of the parts of the emergency and public health community...in order to hasten and broaden the knowledge base in this country," he continued. "Our intelligence assessments at ERRI, and those coming from a number of U.S. government agencies, suggest that it is only a matter of time before we are faced with a large scale terror attack involving chemical, biological or nuclear weapons...the time to prepare is now," Staten concluded.
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January 20, 1999--THE THREAT OF BIOLOGICAL ATTACK -- IS AMERICA PREPARED?
(c) Copyright, EmergencyNet NEWS Service, 1999. All Rights Reserved. Redistribution
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The ERRI DAILY INTELLIGENCE REPORT is a subscription publication of the EmergencyNet NEWS
Service, which is a part of the Chicago-based Emergency Response and Research Institute
(ERRI). This publication specializes in Security/Terrorism/Intelligence/Military and
National Security issues.
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